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2024-12-14 01:46:58

Fang Yi, Chief Strategy Officer of Guotai Junan: The conditions of "transformation cattle" in China stock market are forming four themes, focusing on mergers and acquisitions and self-control. Fang Yi, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Strategy, said at the main forum of Guotai Junan 2025 investment strategy that the bottom of China stock market has appeared, and the conditions of "transformation cattle" are forming; The key driving force of the market comes from the decline of risk-free interest rate and the boost of risk preference, and the economic expectation is expected to be revised up in 2025H2; The mid-line of the stock market is expected to get out of the N-rhythm. Theme recommendation: merger and reorganization/self-control/humanoid robot/self-consumption. 1) M&A and reorganization: the regulatory tolerance of cross-border M&A and acquisition of unprofitable assets has been improved, and we are optimistic about the traditional industry leaders who are the main enterprises of science and technology chain and benefit from the optimization of industry structure; 2) Self-control: global science and technology supply chain reconstruction, optimistic about the improvement of localization rate of advanced semiconductors/basic software; 3) Humanoid robot: mass production and application scenario expansion are accelerated, and key components such as dexterous hands/actuators are optimistic; 4) Self-satisfaction consumption: demographic changes have given birth to new consumption patterns, and we are optimistic about the high growth of secondary consumption/pet consumption.The Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 30 people. The reporter of the General Station learned on the evening of 12th local time that the death toll from the Israeli bombing of a building in Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has risen to 30.Sources: Boeing (BA.N) is expected to deliver the new Air Force One after Trump's next term.


Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.The nominee of the Trump Department of Transportation said that the agency will ensure "the safety of aircraft produced by Boeing."Bezos' Amazon plans to donate $1 million to Trump's inauguration ceremony.


Broadcom's profit was higher than expected. Artificial intelligence promoted sales growth. Broadcom, a chip supplier of Apple and other large technology companies, announced that its fourth-quarter profit was better than expected, and the demand for artificial intelligence boosted growth. The company said in a statement on Thursday that earnings per share excluding some items were $1.42. Revenue rose to nearly $14.1 billion. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, the average forecast of analysts was $1.39 per share and $14.1 billion in revenue. Broadcom expects sales to reach $14.6 billion in the first fiscal quarter ending January, in line with analysts' expectations. Broadcom's financial report shows that the demand for artificial intelligence computing is hedging the slowdown in other fields. Broadcom, like NVIDIA, has positioned itself as the main beneficiary of artificial intelligence expenditure. After the announcement of the financial report, Broadcom's share price once rose more than 6% after hours. As of Thursday's close, the stock has increased by 62% since 2024.Central Bank of Peru: It is expected that the annual inflation rate and core inflation rate will remain within the expected range.Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.

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